The runway arithmetic we run on a first call. 3 numbers in, a month and a date out. Nothing is stored and nothing is sent anywhere.
Straight-line arithmetic. A real forecast is not straight-line, and we say so below
Move the 3 sliders. The figure updates as you go.
Cash reaches zero around February 2028 at this burn.
Straight-line arithmetic on the figures above. A real forecast accounts for collection timing, payroll steps and the months your burn is not flat.
When we rebuild a model bottom-up, the runway date almost always moves earlier. 3 reasons account for most of it.
Payroll steps up when a hire lands, not evenly across the year. Annual software renewals, insurance and tax all land in single months. A straight line through them understates the months that matter.
Payables already incurred, deferred revenue owed in service, and a tax bill accruing quietly are all committed. The bank balance flatters what is genuinely spendable.
Revenue recognised in March is often cash in June. A model built on invoice dates rather than collection dates reads 1 to 2 months longer than the bank account will.
A 13-week cashflow fixes all three, because it is built on dates rather than months. The template is free, or we keep one for you monthly from $1,750.
Thirty minutes with the partner who would lead the work. We will tell you what it needs, what it costs, and where you could spend less.
